He also points out that even a small gain has huge implications for the Electoral College. Even now, days before the first definitive post-debate polls come out, Hillary's chances of winning according to Silver have gone back up to 63.7% to 36.2% for Captian Oblivious.
Even the latest Rasmussen Poll, which has a strong Republican bias, shows Hillary up by one point. That's bad news for Trump.
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