Pluto isn't the only thing that's been downgraded

Global warming alarmists have been loud predicted an unprecedentedly severe hurricane season this year. But the hurricanes didn't show up.

And now that one finally has, Hurricane Ernesto has been downgraded to a tropical storm.

Comments

Anonymous said…
C'mon Bob, its a fluke year. Just like when the Red Sox won the world series. Things are back to normal in baseball. The hurricanes will come. No worries, mate.
SteveH
Anonymous said…
Yes, the Atlantic storms have been few. Have you looked at the Pacific? Tropical Storm Kristy is growing of the coast of Mexico, the 11th named storm. A pace well-ahead of standard.

Admittedly, east Pacific storms garner little attention because they rarely make landfall.

And yes, the forecasts were for a more severe Atlantic storm season. Hurricane intensity may be more correlated with ocean temperature than hurricane formation, which would be a link to global warming.

Hurricane formation requires warm water and a number of other factors, including some peculiar atmospheric and surface conditions that are not at all related to global warming. Drawing conclusions about the reality/falsity of global warming by counting tropical storms is specious at best.

- ScottH
Anonymous said…
Yes, the Atlantic storms have been few. Have you looked at the Pacific? Tropical Storm Kristy is growing of the coast of Mexico, the 11th named storm. A pace well-ahead of standard.

Admittedly, east Pacific storms garner little attention because they rarely make landfall.

And yes, the forecasts were for a more severe Atlantic storm season. Hurricane intensity may be more correlated with ocean temperature than hurricane formation, which would be a link to global warming.

Hurricane formation requires warm water and a number of other factors, including some peculiar atmospheric and surface conditions that are not at all related to global warming. Drawing conclusions about the reality/falsity of global warming by counting tropical storms is specious at best.

- ScottH
I suggest you tell that to the people who are using it as "evidence" for a significance that it's not clear that global warming has.

Incidentally, I know of nobody who disputes that the earth goes through cycles of warming and cooling. Whether this is the warmest one in history (we've only been keeping records since the 1880's, and there's geological evidence for at least one lengtly and much warmer one) and their causes (a good case can be made for solar conditions, and the really controversial matter is the degree to which human activity contributes) is, of course, another matter.

But I'm glad we agree that hurricanes are not convincing evidence either way.