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Showing posts from January, 2012

Obama gaffes again; media ignore it again

Whenever George W. Bush or Dan Quayle or Sarah Palin or Michele Bachmann misspeak, the network news, the talk show hosts, and the Left-leaning comedians are all over them like Tim Tebow on his knee.

Serial gaffer Joe Biden sometimes gets a passing notice from these folks when he misspeaks; after all, his foot is in his mouth so much that it would be kinda hard to ignore. But President Obama- he who visited 57 states during the 2008 campaign,



thinks Hawaii (where he was born) is in Asia,



and apparently doesn't know the difference between Great Britain and England- is no stranger to the verbal gaffe, either. Thing is, though, that those who are so anxious to ridicule Bush and Quayle and Palin and Bachmann manage somehow not to notice when The One trips over his tongue.

Within the past couple of days, POTUS overestimated the number of jobs created under his administration by 19 million,



and referred to the Republic of Georgia as "Russia-" in the presence of the Georgian p…

Mitt's average lead over Newt now up to 12.5% in Florida polls

The day before the Florida primary, Mitt's average lead over Newt is now up to 12.5%.

I'm a little more cautious. Right now I'd predict a Romney victory by maybe six to eight points- enough, as a practical matter, to spell the end of the road for Newt as a realistic candidate, and probably all but wrap it up for Mitt.

HT: Real Clear Politics

Study shows anti-Romney bias on network TV news

A new study by the Center for Media and Public Affairs at George Mason University reveals a profound bias against Mitt Romney by the networks- including Fox News.

Romney is the only major candidate in either party, it seems, for whom negative references outway positive ones.

Interesting. Tough to explain why Fox News should be that way, unless the writers there harbor some subconscious suspicion of Mitt based on his record of years ago. In the case of the other networks, it may just be a matter of firing most of their ammunition at the guy who's probably going to be their man Obama's opponent in the Fall- and the toughest Republican for him to beat.

HT: Drudge

Electoral reality check

If you still have questions about the electability of the remaining GOP candidates, a new Gallup/USA Today poll should answer them.

Of course, the polls (as long as every other available indicator) has been giving the same answer for months and months now. But those determined not to be convinced by the evidence naturally are not.

HT: Drudge

Florida is breaking for Mitt

Two new polls have Mitt Romney leading Newt Gingrich in Florida by eight and nine points, respectively.

With three days before the primary, the wheels seem to be falling off the former House speaker's campaign. Florida is followed by a series of primaries in which Romney will be heavily favored. For the second time this year, the Gingrich campaign has risen from the depths to the heights, only to fall back again into the depths.

Mitt seems to have turned things around by arguing that he's a self-made man who made his fortune through hard work and savvy investment, and refuses to apologize for it. Florida Republicans- briefly distracted by Newt's debating ability and all the attention given Romney's success in minimizing his income  tax liability- are eating it up.

I'm going to revise my prediction. I think it will be Mitt by eight points. That seems to be the number most of the recent polls are clustering around.

HT: Drudge

The Florida polls are all over the place...

...and the consensus of the pundits seems to be that it's going to be close. But while the polls give varied results, the majority of themaren't all that close- or all that ambivalent: after trailing him earlier, in the wake of South Carolina, Romney seems to have caught Gingrich, and to be opening up a lead of sorts.

The winners of last night's final debate seem to have been Romney and Santorum. The loser: Gingrich.

My prediction: Romney by three to five points.

HT: Real Clear Politics

Newt, not Mitt, is right about the moon base

Mitt Romney said in the debate last night that he would fire an employee who came to him with an idea like Newt Gingrich's proposed lunar base.

He's wrong. He should do his research.

As I've pointed out many times, from an accounting point of view the Federal government has never spent money more wisely than on the original moon program. The growth it caused in the economy (yes, in Florida, but also all over the nation) resulted in tax revenues exponentially greater than the initial outlay. We're strapped for cash right now, but by all historical precedent, if it were possible to raise the necessary money without increasing an already unacceptable deficit even more radically than Barack Obama is already raising it, a program to establish a permanent base on the Moon and- even more so- to send a manned expedition to Mars would provide more effective stimulus to our lagging economy than almost anything else- and might even shrink the deficit in the long run.

When, as I h…

Biden strikes yet AGAIN!

You gotta love this guy (if you're a Republican!)

Joe Biden's latest exploit: imitating "Peggy the Eastern European call center man" (not an Indian, actually) while talking about outsourcing:



Can you even begin to imagine what the response would be if he weren't a Democrat?

Ann Coulter is right: Nominate Gingrich, re-elect Obama

Ann Coulter is exactly right: if the Republicans nominate Newt Gingrich, Barack Obama is a cinch for a second term, economy or no economy.

Here is what Newt- who, to hear him tell it, is the reincarnation of Ronald Reagan- had to say about the Gipper when the latter was alive:



Gingrich, who won the South Carolina primary, is currently ahead in the Florida polls.

HT: Drudge

Romney gets the last laugh on taxes

Oops. Looks like Mitt Romney's critics stepped in it when they demanded that he release his income tax returns.

Romney paid 42% his income in taxes and donations to charity. Jennifer Rubin of the Washington Post lists the Federal expenditures Mitt paid for out of his own pocket here.

It seems that when all the deductions and tax shelters are taken into account, Mitt's effective tax rate was 13%. Nobody, remember, has suggested that he has done anything illegal. The question seems rather obvious: would the American people prefer a president smart enough to take every legal tax break to which he is entitled, or one who...well, isn't?

Meanwhile, new front-runner presumptive Newt Gingrich may already have stepped in it. The Commission on Presidential Debates has ruled that the audiences at future debates must remain silent. Newt- being his typical, impulsive self- promptly threatened to boycott the rest of the debates if the audience can't cheer.

The problem is that it'…

A rarity: a Paul is actually right about what the Constitution says

Rand Paul may be as extrene as his dad, and his behavior in refusing to submit to a pat-down  by the TSA after a full-body scanner failed while he was boarding a plane in Nashville may have been childish and irresponsible, but he's right: the Constitution guarantees members of Congress immunity from arrest while traveling to and from sessions.

Of course, the TSA denies that he was actually ever detained, which means that the question is academic. But still, it's good to see a member of the Paul family basing a constitutional argument on what the document actually says, rather than extrapolating some absurdity on the basis of what it doesn't say.

HT: Drudge

Uh-oh.

A new Rasmussen poll has President Obama's Florida Republican Primary stand-in, Newt Gingrich, up nine points over Mitt Romney.

No word on whether Jon Huntsman might consider a third-party bid.

77% have a favorable opinion of Romney, 69% have a favorable opinion of Gingrich, 64% have a favorable opinion of Rick Santorum- and only 33% have a favorable opinion of Ron Paul, who trails badly and has chosen not to contest the Florida Primary even though he is on the ballot, but will probably claim victory anyway no matter what the result.

Who has the best personal character? 41% say Romney, 30% Santorum, 11% Gingrich and 10% Paul. Evidentally somebody is paying attention to that newsletter business.

52% expect Romney to be the eventual nominee.

I agree with the 52% despite the Florida figures; Romney is best positioned for the long haul. But a Gingrich victory in Florida raises the real possibility that the Republican party may self-destruct and nominate themselves out of any shot at w…

Rest in peace, JoPa

When Joe Paterno learned about the Jerry Sandusky affair, he did what the law and school policy required: he reported it to his superiors. It was their responsibility to notify the police.

They fired JoePa for following the rules. Perhaps he should have done more than the law and school policy required. No, undoubtedly he should have done more. But on this particular planet, there is no possible justice in having fired him for not doing so.

Two weeks later, one of the two or three greatest coaches in the history of college football died, his legend tainted and his career ended in undeserved shame.

Were I a member of the Paterno family, I would make it clear that representatives of Penn State are unwelcome at the funeral. And I think the university should seriously consider Franco Harris's suggestion that JoPa be reinstated for four games next season. Posthumously.

President Obama: the killing of unborn human beings is a "family matter" and a "fundamental Constitutional right"

On the thirty-ninth anniversary of the Supreme Court's tragic, ill-reasoned decision in Roe v. Wade, President Obama has made it clear that he still buys into the silly notion that the killing of living human beings is a "family matter" in which the government ought not to intrude- and that, indeed, it is a "fundamental constitutional right" despite being found nowhere in the Constitution.

We must defeat this guy in November. It's a moral imperative.

My guess: South Carolina Republicans will vote for Obama today

The results won't be known for a few hours yet, but all indications are that the late surge by Newt Gingrich will overcome Mitt Romney's long-standing lead in South Carolina. The former speaker has apparently capitalized on a couple of strong debate performances at a time when Romney has been reeling from questions concerning his personal finances (no wrongdoing has been proven or even specifically suggested).

It should be noted that Speaker Gingrich has an approval rating nationally about twenty points lower than President Obama's. Governor Romney, on the other hand, as an approval rating about five or six points higher than the president. Gingrich- like Santorum and certainly Paul- is unelectable, and a vote for any of them is in effect a vote to re-elect Mr. Obama.

Nothing is certain. The ABC interview of Gingrich's second wife, Marianne, might still derail the former speaker in socially conservative South Carolina. But while momentum may be generated suddenly, it t…

Biden strikes again!

Now, seriously. Can you really imagine even Dan Quayle or George W. Bush telling a crowd in San Francisco that "The Giants are on their way to the Super Bowl" three days before the Giants play the San Francisco 49ers for that privilege?

Well, Joe Biden did. To give him due credit, he quickly realized the gaffe he'd just committed (with the help of a roomful of lustily booing 49ers fans), recovered, and explained that he had been thinking of the San Francisco Giants and the World Series.

But still, Mr. President.... please keep this guy on the ticket!

HT: Drudge

And then, there were three and a half. Or maybe two.

Michelle Bachmann, an intelligent woman if something of a political lightweight and one who would do well to check her facts more carefully before saying anything about anything, is out of the race for the Republican presidential nomination.

Jon Huntsman, who in a rational world might well have been the nominee (being the best qualified candidate for president in either party, including the incumbent), is also out of the race, and has endorsed Mitt Romney.

Rick Perry, who was out of his depth from the word go and probably should never have gotten into the race in the first place, has also dropped out, and endorsed Newt Gingrich.

Ironic, that.

That leaves Romney, the presumptive nominee; Newt Gingrich, who has only hours before ABC's explosive interview with his first wife is broadcast and  destroys any shred of viability his campaign still has; Rick Santorum and Crazy Ron as the only remaining Republican candidates. And here, we haven't even held the South Carolina Primary yet.

"Please, Brer GOP, don't throw us Democrats in the briar patch!"

It seems that Nancy Pelosi- like Donna Brazile and certain far right Republicans even more divorced from reality than usual- is saying that Mitt Romney would be easy pickings in November.

Uh-huh. Tell it to the polls; Romney is the only Republican to lead the president for more than one brief, shining moment. He's consistently run better against Obama than anybody else, in fact. And tell it to the Republican voters of Iowa and New Hampshire, who aren't buying it for a moment. They know electability when they see it, and it's important enough to them to cause them to forego the ideological self-indulgence which, at least in Iowa, generally drives the Republican field so far to the right and the Democratic field so far to the left as to cast the electability of the ultimate winner into question.

This time they picked the guy who is going to beat Obama in November. Sorry, Nancy. I'm not buying it- and I don't think anybody but those ideologically purist far right Repu…

Michael Medved on why Tebowmania is kosher

I'm no particular admirer of the Denver Broncos. In fact, as a Bears fan, I wish they'd come up with their own colors instead of stealing ours. Nor do I go ga-ga over Tim Tebow's late-game heroics this season, which actually fall considerably short of the hype they've gotten. The jury is still out as to whether this guy is the next coming of Johnny Unitas or of Rex Grossman; time will tell.

But I'm a big fan of Michael Medved, who has written quite perceptively about the wave of anti-Christian bigotry inspired by Tebow's frank and open "evangelical" piety.

A surprising number of Jews, it seems, are Tebow fans. In fact, Mr. M- an orthodox Jew himself- points out that Hebrew is read from right to left- and that 613 (3:16 read backwards) is the number of divine commands in the Torah, and thus a holy number to Jews.

Obama on pace to borrow $6.2 trillion

Remember this oldie but goodie from four years ago?




Mr. Obama is on pace to borrow $6.2 trillion in one term. That's more than all the presidents from Washington through Clinton combined.

The national debt will, at the current rate, be raised by $2 trillion more in Mr. Obama's first term than the figure he cites above, late in Dubyah's second.

HT: Drudge

Better late than never

A Jehovah's Witness Christmas:

Some thoughts on the New Hampshire Primary

Assuming that his Iowa win holds up (there is some controversy over whether his count may have been called in twenty votes higher than it should have been in one precinct), Mitt Romney is the first non-incumbent Republican in history to win in both Iowa and New Hampshire.

Ron bin Paul got 23% and finished (a distant) second in New Hampshire. He finished third and got 21% in Iowa. Could it really be that there are actually more extremist goofs on the voting rolls in the Granite State than in Iowa?

No, Emir Paul. You are most assuredly not "nipping at Mitt Romney's heels." He beat you by 17 points. Deal with it.

The New York Times projections (based on the average of the polls, and adjusted to compensate in weaknesses in the sampling and methods of each) show Romney ahead 7.6% in South Carolina (supposedly his toughest state) and 12.1% in Florida. Paul looks to finish a distant fourth in both South Carolina and in Florida. In the later, he is in single digits; in the forme…

Good news and bad news

A new CBS poll shows Mitt Romney leading President Obama by two points.

That's the good news.

The bad news is that the same poll shows Ron "Blame America First" Paul trailing the president by only one point.

But not to worry. Once again, once the American people generally become aware of just how radical Paul's positions on foreign policy and national defense really are, and the details of the affair of the newsletter, his strident calls for huge budget cuts and his admitted consistency in maintaining those loony positions will return him to his previous obscurity.

Ron Paul is a protest candidates. Protest candidates to well in tough times. But seldom, when the chips are down, are they seriously considered as presidents- especially when voting for them would be voting to endanger the safety of both one's country and one's children.

Meanwhile a new Gallup poll shows a greater percentage of candidates regarding Romney as an acceptable nominee than any other can…

Sean Hannity tells it like it is

An epic moment in New Hampshire!

Ron Paul meets his only rival for his base in an epic confrontation.

The libertarian from Utopia Planita is confronted by Vermin Supreme, who- like Paul himself- ran previously, in 2008.  Supreme's platform: No flying monkeys in the streets of New York! Do something about the weather! Computer chip implants for all Americans! The legalization of human meat! Bigger family values! Make crime against the law!

"Vermin Supreme," his campaign staff promises,"will protect you and your children from the voices in his head, thru (sic) whatever means necessary." Contrast this with Paul, who would probably say that any hypothetical voices in his head were, in fact, your children's fault.

Some of Paul's positions, meanwhile, are explicated here. The question: which candidate's positions are the more bizarre?

HT: Drudge

And this is a problem because......?

Rick Santorum compares same-sex marriage with polygamy.

Granted, Santorum's logic isn't syllogistically sound in the comparison he makes here between the two. It doesn't follow that if you can marry anybody you want, you therefore can necessarily marry any number of people you want. But that's a far cry from saying that the basic proposition for which he makes an admittedly flawed argument  isn't sound.

Both polygamy and same-sex "marriage" are abandonments of the understanding of the very nature of marriage maintained by Western civilization for millenia:  a legally-sanctioned and binding relationship between one man and one woman. No state in the nation- or nation in the Western world, with the exception of the essentially antinomian society of Holland- has ever before treated marriage as merely a contract between individuals, whose nature was subject to negotiation between the parties. On the contrary, it has always (again, with the exception of Holla…

Ad from pro-Paul PAC attacks Huntsman as "Manchurian Candidate" because he adopted a Chinese orphan

A New Hampshire PAC supporting Rep. Ron Paul (R-Utopia Planitia) is running a web ad showing Jon Huntsman's adopted daughters Gracie (who was born in China) and Asha (who was born in India), asking "American values- or Chinese?" It concludes with a picture of Huntsman dressed as the late Chinese dictator and mass murderer Mao Zedong.

Labeling the former special assistant to President Reagan, U.S. trade representative, three-time U.S. ambassador (most recently to China) and governor of Utah "the Manchurian candidate," the ad implies that there is something suspicious about the fact that Huntsman, who speaks fluent Manderin, has a daughter who was born in China. And this from a PAC supporting a candidate who makes excuses for al Queda and insists that 9/11 was somehow America's fault.

"If someone wants to poke fun at me, that's OK," Huntsman responded. "What I object to is bringing forward pictures and videos of my adopted daughters and sug…

Mars Attacks!

Rep. Ron Paul (R-Utopia Planitia) is really, really asking for it in New Hampshire. And with two debates scheduled back-to-back this weekend (both including a ticked-off Newt Gingrich), I have a strong feeling that he's going to get it.

Being a cat's paw whose presence in the race is useful to one candidate or another but who poses no real threat will only protect him for so long.

Once Paul  himself is exposed to the kind of scrutiny he wants to turn on the others, he's toast. Major ad campaigns highlighting the details of the Paul foreign policy, the newsletter business, and the kind of people who form a large part of his following will probably be required to fully inform the electorate about just how far out of the American mainstream Paul is, but a flaying or two at the hands of Gingrich in this weekend's debates couldn't hurt.

A candidate who won't man up and accept responsibility for the contents of an entire decade of a newsletter he paid for, profited f…

One more point about Iowa: Apples, oranges, and Romney's percentages in 2008 and 2012

Before bidding adieu to the subject of the Iowa Caucuses, I have one more rather significant (and rather obvious) point which the pro-Obama media seem somehow to have missed.

The liberal journalists who are harping on the point that Mitt Romney didn't improve on his 25% showing in the 2008 caucuses seem to have forgotten that in 2008 Romney had the best ground game of any of the candidates, due in no small measure to committing to a maximum effort in Iowa early and flooding the state with resources for months before the caucuses. Four years ago, he bet the farm on Iowa. He had more than fifty paid staffers in this state. He poured resources into Iowa as if it was the only caucus or primary he had to worry about.

This year, he had five paid staffers here, and waged a campaign so half-hearted until the very end that those very journalists who diss his results kept harping before caucus night on his failure to even visit Iowa very often. In fact, the chattering classes kept remarkin…

Some final thoughts about the Iowa Caucuses

(FUN FACT: In Iowa, there are six times as many pigs as people.)

Rick Perry ought to get a grip. His sour grapes about the "distorted" caucus process and how he is looking forward to participating in an "actual primary" miss the point. The reason for his lack of success wasn't the shortcomings of the process. It was the shortcomings of the candidate.

I caught Letterman's extended snark about Iowa and the caucuses last night. He has got to be the most snottily elitist Indiana boy in the world, and he's not even funny anymore. Regrettably, he continued his rude and not particularly clever crusade against "Michele Obachman" even after she withdrew from the race- a withdrawal from which he derived a "Top Ten List" that even the studio audience didn't find funny. The media should be ashamed of the way they treated Ms. Bachmann this year; for her part, she handled their childish snideness with style and grace.

By the way, somebody ought t…

Report from the Saylor Township, Iowa Precinct 1 Republican caucus

Yesterday, I participated in my ninth Iowa presidential caucus. Since I'd moved since the last one, it was a new place with a new bunch of people to get to know.

I headed over to Romney headquarters on Ingersoll yesterday afternoon in an apprehensive mood. I'd been contacted- sometimes eight or nine times- by every single candidate contesting Iowa except Mitt Romney.

Perhaps, I told myself, that was because the Romney campaign already had my name. But the ground game in Iowa- as elsewhere- consists for the most part in making sure your identified supporters get to the polls (or, in this case, the caucus site). Since I live in an apartment on the opposite side of the street that defines Des Moines' northern city limit, I wasn't really sure about the geography of Saylor Township. The county party had contacted me about serving as our precinct's temporary chair. They changed their mind when they realized that I would have a hard time getting there, since I lived somethi…

My prediction: Romney, Paul, Santorum

The prestigious Des Moines Register Iowa Poll came out with its final read on the caucus Sunday. Like most of late, it shows Mitt Romney with a narrow lead over Ron Paul, with Rick Santorum the only other real competitor.

If that holds up- and I think it will, with Romney, Paul, and Santorum finishing in that order- it means that this year there will be only two "tickets" out of Iowa, and that they will go to Romney and Santorum.

The Register poll gives Romney 24% to 22% for Paul, 15% for Santorum, 12% for Gingrich, 11% for Perry, 7% for Bachmann, and 2% for Huntsman. While the individual numbers vary- the latest PPP poll actually has Paul up by one point over Romney- the general margins seem pretty consistent.

But the race is volitile. Anything could happen. My own preferred result would be Romney winning, Santorum finishing second, and Paul as far down the road as possible.

The higher Paul finishes, of course, the sillier Iowa will look.

Ron Paul thinks government should not be involved in marriage

Even Barack Obama supports traditional marriage. But not Ron Paul: