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Courting distrust

John Daniel Davidson of The Federalist here documents the continuing deterioration of the Supreme Court's and thus the Federal judiciary's reputation among Americans from being that of most trusted branch of the Federal government to that of an ideologically-driven partisan entity fighting the Culture Wars on behalf of the Left.

And given the transparently dubious logic of decisions ranging from Roe v. Wade to Cruzan v. Director to Obergefell v. Hodges to Whole Women's Health v. Hellerstedt, the Court's current and unprecedented 50% disapproval rating among the American people should be no surprise to anybody.

The best summary of the case against Trump I've ever seen

Here Mark Salter, a former aide to Sen. John McCain, does the best job I've seen of concisely summarizing why so many who ordinarily vote Republican- including myself- refuse to vote for Donald Trump even in the face of the alternative.

Did you know that a leading geopolitical analysis firm has rated Trump's possible election as one of the top 10 threats to global security? I didn't. Though given everything he's said- including his foreign policy statements- I can't say I'm surprised.

I just don't see how anybody who both loves America and knows the score where this clown is concerned could even consider voting for him. Even when the alternative is Hillary Clinton.

Nate Silver agrees with me

Here's Nate Silver's take on the election over at FiveThirtyEight.com: Hillary Clinton has an 80.6% chance of winning, and Donald Trump has a 19.3% chance.

He sees the states falling pretty much as I do. He predicts 353 electoral votes for Clinton and 183.7 for Trump and 1.3 for Gary Johnson- which is odd because it would be illegal in most states to cut a living elector into pieces and there is no way other than a single elector  going rogue for anybody to get just one electoral vote, much less 1.3. Nor am I sure where he sees Johnson winning that 1.3 electors. So I'm a little puzzled by his math.

In terms of popular vote, he calls it as 48.4% for Clinton to 41.1% for Trump and 9.3% for Johnson.

Again, as the Democratic attack ads start and Trump bumbles and stumbles under closer scrutiny, I can easily see things getting worse for Trump. But not better.

Not even if she's indicted, which she won't be. The Obama administration won't allow it.

A Clinton rout in the 'battlefield states?'

Some new battleground state polling results confirm what I said in my post yesterday.

According to a new Ballotpedia poll, Clinton leads Trump by 17 points in "toss-up" state Michigan, 14 points in ""toss up" state Pennsylvania, 14 points in "toss-up" state Florida, 13 points in "toss-up" state Virginia, 10 points in "toss-up"  state North Carolina,  nine points in "toss-up" state Ohio,  and seven points in "toss-up" state Virginia.

Add those 111 electoral votes to the total of 210 RCP already puts in the Clinton column and she has 321.

270 are needed to elect.

According to the Ballotpedia poll, in the seven  of the 11 so-called "battleground states" in which Clinton leads, only my own state of Iowa- which I cannot imagine Trump carrying- is within Trump's reach. Here, the poll says that he trails by only four points.

For some reason, Ballotpedia also polled races in the "battleground states…

Donald Trump's 'conversion'

The other day James Dobson raised eyebrows all over America with the news that Donald Trump had been converted to Christianity, calling him a "baby Christian." But now he's backpedaling. It seems that he's simply passing on what he's heard.

Fair enough. I and every blogger and journalist in the world pass on things we've heard from credible sources but can't verify by way of personal knowledge. We all do it in everyday life. Sometimes it's gossip. Sometimes it's slander. Sometimes it's just sharing information about matters of legitimate mutual concern. Sometimes it's surprise and disbelief about things we have trouble crediting. Sometimes it's just making conversation with no intention to demean or flatter anybody. And sometimes it's joy about something we've heard about Sometimes the happiness simply spills over into our conversation without our being able to help it.

But when we're talking about public figures who publi…

The dimensions of the coming Republican disaster

I've remarked before about the absurdity of the states the standard Real Clear Politics Electoral College map rates as "toss-ups." No matter what the polls say at the moment, there is no way in this galaxy that Hillary Clinton is not going to carry Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Pennsylvania, all of which are listed as s "toss-ups." Neither are such take-it-to-the-bank Clinton states as New Jersey, Connecticut, Minnesota and Oregon merely "leaning" Democratic!

However, if you check the box marked "no toss-ups," you get what I think is a pretty good idea of how the election is likely to go- although I still think it's a bit optimistic from the Trump point of view. The result, with 270 electoral votes needed to win, is Clinton 342, Trump 196.

Something on the order of Lyndon Johnson's victory over Barry Goldwater in 1964, in which the Democrat carried 44 states, is unlikely. But I expect the result to be somewhere in between that and the &…

Bad word choice, Sen. Thune

When Sen. John Thune was asked about reports that he was being considered as a possible running mate for Donald Trump, he replied, "I know nothing."

Given Trump's platform and the historical associations of those words, he might have chosen his response more carefully. And I'm not talking about either Jon Snow or Sergeant Schultz.

I don't think Millard Fillmore is doing anything, Donald.

Anthony Kennedy strikes a blow for Donald Trump

The man who delivered what may well be the coup de grace  to marriage in America by effectively eliminating monogamy as an essential part of it (even partnered gay men are rarely monogamous) has just provided the decisive vote in a decision which has seriously limited the ability of states to regulate abortion.

In a 5-3 vote (not the 4-4 tie that had been expected), the Court reinforced the imaginary Constitutional right to abortion by striking down a Texas law requiring abortion clinics to meet the same standards as ambulatory surgical centers and that abortion providers have admitting privileges at a hospital within thirty miles. Apparently, even the health of women having abortions is less important than as many abortions being performed as possible.

But the most significant impact of the decision may have nothing to do with abortion as such. The one compelling argument supporters of Donald Trump have for social conservatives to vote for their candidate is the number of vacancies …

Poor John Barrasso

I really feel for Sen. John Barrasso, by all accounts an essentially sensible man condemned to supervise the writing of the platform on which Republican lose cannon presidential nominee-to-be Donald Trump is going to run. Of course, so will every candidate for Congress, governor, and state legislator in the country. And most of them (unlike Trump) are actually Republicans. And conservatives. And believers in democratic values.

Poor guy. He's tasked with mixing oil and water.

So how does Sen. Barrasso cobble together a platform that embraces coherent philosophical and policy positions with Trump's mercurial inclination to say whatever pops into his head at the moment, however nonsensical, bizarre, offensive, politically untenable, or contradictory of what he said five minutes before? The answer has to be  the answer to the question of how porcupines make love: very carefully.

In one sense, it doesn't matter. Trump has shown a remarkable capacity for abandoning what suppose…

Read it and weep, Donald. And whine.

Donald Trump says the new ABC News poll is "dishonest," and cites the "good polls." The trouble is,  they've all been showing him losing for a while now. And he's been talking about non-existent polls which he imagines to show him winning ever since the early debates.

Increase your vocabulary!

myth·o·ma·ni·a
ˌmiTHəˈmānēə
noun

1. An abnormal or pathological tendency to exaggerate or tell lies; a clinical term for compulsive lying.

2. A dominant personality characteristic of Donald Trump, as evidenced by these 101 examples..

The real deal takes on a phony

Bush Treasury Secretary Henry M. Paulson, Jr. explains clearly, calmly and with all the authority that an accomplished economist, businessman, statesman. and distinguished Republican can muster why it is essential to our nation's well-being that Donald Trump is not elected President of the United States.

Paulson is the former chief executive of Goldman Sachs and has actual credentials as a businessman of which Trump can only dream- and lie to the gullible about having. He is also the chair of the Paulsen Institute at the University of Chicago, dedicated to ways of encouraging and maintaining sustainable economic growth. And he explains clearly that when it comes to running a business (or a country) and even negotiating, Trump's style and personality are a disaster. This is a man who- unlike Trump- understands that the goal of running a business is to make the business prosper, not merely to amass a personal fortune and feed one's own ego.

This is a man who knows economics…

George Will leaves the GOP- and Trump immediately validates his decision

My fellow Cub fan, George Will, has taken the step I took awhile back and changed his registration from "Republican" to "unaffiliated." Neither of us believes that we or anyone else who embraces in the ideals of Abraham Lincoln and Ronald Reagan has any place in a political party that can nominate Donald Trump for president.

Note Trump's characteristically childish response in the story linked to above. This is not the way a psychologically mature man handles criticism, and it is yet another example of why we dare not allow Trump anywhere near the Oval Office. Ironically, as has been so often the case in the past, Trump's juvenile reaction to criticism validates the very criticism he's responding to.

Mr. Will calls upon all of us who stand for what the Republican party has traditionally stood for to do anything we can to see to it that Trump is defeated this November. With the caveat that I cannot and will not vote for Hillary Clinton, I agree.

Trump i…

And speaking of secession...

The Scots, who voted to stay in the UK two years ago, are talking secession again. They say that Scotland should not be taken out of the European Union without its consent.

Scotland voted overwhelmingly for the UK to stay in the EU.

By the way, the First Minister of Scotland is a woman named Nicola Sturgeon. Her predecessor as First Minister and leader of the Scottish Nationalist Party was Alex Salmond. There is something fishy about that, seems to me.

Yawn.. That Texas secession nonsense is being talked about again

In the wake of the Brexit vote, one of our native flora, the Texas wingnut, has burst into bloom again, reviving the widely believed urban legend that a wholly mythical treaty between the United States and the Republic of Texas facilitating the admission of Texas to the Union contained a provision allowing it to secede at some future date. Even former Gov. Rick Perry made statements a few years ago indicating that he believed the myth, which I understand is actually taught as historical fact in some Texas schools.

The notion is so deeply embedded in the minds of a large minority of Texans that it keeps popping up periodically, The last time it made an appearance was during the Scottish independence referendum campaign in 2014.

But it's still not true. Sorry, unpatriotic Texans. You're stuck with the United States of America.

Is it all a joke?

It has been suggested- seriously- that Donald Trump's candidacy is a Democratic plot. After all, he's a lifelong Democrat whose positions on virtually every issue were the exact opposite of his present ones less than a year ago. He voted twice each for Bill Clinton and Barack Obama. He even invited the Clintons to his wedding. And after all, despite the ongoing delusion of his supporters, throughout the primary campaign the polls showed Trump as not only Hillary's weakest opponent but the only Republican she beat!

It would certainly explain a great deal if all the idiotic things Trump had said and done were part of a gambit to get Hillary elected. In fact, the wholeTrump thing is so crazy that I'm tempted to believe it. I have no doubt that Trump, tinfoil hatter that he is, would believe it if he were in my shoes. After all, he has a weakness for cockeyed conspiracy theories!

Last week a posted a video of a Jimmy Fallon spoof of "The Producers" in which inst…

The myth of Donald Trump

How a very talented self-promoter and an accompished liar has managed to sell himself as two things he is not: a successful businessman and a skilled deal-maker.

John Trump wins

Britain has voted to leave the European Union.

On one hand, I have always personally distrusted the EU. I like the Brits much better.

On the other hand, there will be serious economic consequences as  a result of Britain deciding to leave, not only for the British but for America and for the world. They will not be pretty.

Worse, the vote represents a victory for the British version of Trumpist tribal populism, with all the dangers to Western democratic values that implies. Granted,  Nigel Farage is not an inarticulate, self-worshipping buffoon like Donald Trump. But the values he and the UKIP  represent are at least to some extent just as opposed to the values upon which Anglo-American civilization rests as the largely incoherent rubbish Trump utters.

Pray for the UK and for us all. Seeing the often-snotty Europeans get the door slammed in their faces bothers me not one bit. But passion getting the better of reason is never a good thing, whether the one inflaming it is named Farage o…

In case you wondered..

The Onion here, in its inimitable way, gives its view of the arguments both for and against the United Kingdom leaving the European Union.

Note the appropriately dry, British-style wit.

Just in case you missed it...

.
...perhaps because, like me, you don't have HBO, here's the concluding portion of what by common consent is not only one of the best "Game of Thrones" episodes ever but a classic piece of television- including a battle scene that would have done credit to an epic Hollywood blockbuster. And to top it all off....

Well, I'm getting ahead of myself.

To set the videos up, Ramsay Bolton (formerly "Snow") is the psychopathic bastard  son of a truly twisted noble house. The sigil of House Bolton is the body of a man who has been flayed alive. Ramsay murdered his legitimate siblings and his own father to become the head of House Bolton. Torturing and flaying people is his hobby  He abuses his dogs. He abuses everybody. He's a consummate sadist.

The Boltons had overrun the keep of the Starks, Winterfell. through the treachery of Ned Stark's ward Theon Greyjoy. Young Bran Stark was wrongly thought to have been killed, and sister Arya Stark posed as a se…

Congratulations to President Harrison

Meanwhile, belated congratulations to the faithful and courageous earthly leader of my own church body. The Rev. Dr. Matthew Harrison was elected last week to a third term as president of the Lutheran Church-Missouri Synod

Ours is a conflicted and divided denomination. But it's been blessed in having President Harrison to guide it, The storms may howl and the winds may blow, but the One Whose voice once calmed them on the Sea of Galilee calms them still.

The Word of the Lord indeed abides forever, to quote the Reformation slogan, and as Isaiah proclaimed, it does not return to Him empty but prospers in the thing for which it is sent forth.

May President Harrison and faithful pastors everywhere be upheld by our prayers and by that Word as they share it with a sick society and a dying world which desperately needs it.

Pope Francis is apparently at it again

Pope Francis has been quoted as saying the following about marriage:
“It’s provisional, and because of this the great majority of our sacramental marriages are null. Because they say ‘yes, for the rest of my life!’ but they don’t know what they are saying. Because they have a different culture. They say it, they have good will, but they don’t know.”From the "who am I to judge?" comment about homosexuality to the present, he has kept saying things which appear not simply to be in conflict with Catholic dogma, but with what has been believed "always, everywhere and by all." In this case, the statement attributed to him directly contradicts Jesus.

There has been a constant stream of "corrections" and "clarifications" and claims- doubtless justified in many cases- that his comments have been distorted or misunderstood. But it's getting harder and harder to rationalize what seems to be a tendency to make rash off-the-cuff statements which undermi…

So much for "self-funding" Trump

I've always found the argument that Donald Trump's wealth makes him immune to corruption and that his "self-funded" campaign makes him independent of special interests to be odd.  These are arguments that he's unaccountable. Perhaps he won't be tempted to corruption, but the abuse of power is another matter. And where The Donald is concerned, that (along with competence and stability) is the real issue.

Well, guess what? The Trump campaign is broke- and he's not self-funded anymore.

There never were very many coherent arguments for voting for The Donald, much less sensible ones. Well, one coherent  but not sensible argument has just evaporated.

Graphic by DonkeyHotey

Time to change the scorecard on Trump bankruptcies

I've repeated the charge that Donald Trump- whose supporters claim is an accomplished businessman who would  bring much-needed managerial acumen to the White House- has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy four times.

Apparently I was wrong. It's at least six times.

I apologize for the mistake.

Graphic by DonkeyHotey

The Donald and the 'F" word

No, not that "F word."

I mean "fascist."

I've used the word about Donald Trump often. I think it fits. I think the failure of many well-meaning Republicans to understand how well it fits lies behind their failure to understand that, as much reason as they have to suspect and even despise Hillary Clinton, voting for Trump in order to defeat her is a mistake.

Here's a summary by Jay Nordlinger of the reasons to believe (or at least to strongly suspect) that The Donald is, in fact, something much darker than Hillary is; that he's an enemy of liberal democracy, an authoritarian, and yes, someone it would at the very least be foolish not to worry about being an outright fascist.

And certainly not a better option than even Hillary Clinton. There comes a point where even asking who represents "the lesser of two evils" becomes morally absurd. There comes a point where all the choices are so evil that it would be wrong to make any or them.

I believe th…

The murder of 21 Christian martyrs is more newsworthy than the death of a single gorilla

This from Pastor Ken Klaus's daily devotion from The Lutheran Hour:

NewsBusters is an Internet site which has dedicated itself to pointing out how our news is biased, unfair, inaccurate and, occasionally, idiotic. Recently, one of the NewsBusters' investigations had implications for the Christian community.

The story begins with a gorilla. Yes, you guessed right. We're talking about Harambe, the gorilla we spoke about last week in our devotion. You remember Harambe who was shot when he started mauling a little boy who had climbed into the animal's enclosure.

Well, NewsBusters did a survey of the story as it had been carried by the major networks, you know, ABC, CBS, and NBC. The total time dedicated to the telling of the gorilla's story came to one-hour, 28 minutes, and 17 seconds.

Remember that number.

Next, NewsBusters added up the news time which had been dedicated to the ISIS shooting of some 21 Egyptian Coptic Christians. The ISIS film footage showed how the…

The struggle with Trumpism is a world-wide struggle

In this most bizarre and irrational of election years, it's very easy for Americans to see the extremism and irrationality of the Trump and Sanders campaigns as a uniquely American phenomenon. The nutty, quasi-Fascist cult of political correctness sweeping the nation's campuses reinforces our impression that ours is a society in which tolerance and civility are dying if not already dead. Alarmed though we may be by the violence and the crazy rhetoric, we seem not to realize that we are by no means alone.

Sohrab Amari points out that on the contrary, the rising tide of illiberalism is a global phenomenon. From Europe to Iran and the Middle East, a tide of authoritarianism and intolerance is sweeping the world.

Trumpism is everywhere, and its followers around the world from  Le Pen to Putin recognize and celebrate each other. This is the hour of the bully all over the world, a time for cursing and scapegoating the Outsider and turning on the principles which have informed and g…

No, Donald. It's the DEMOCRATS who haven't started yet. And when they do....

Four years ago the Democratic slander machine chewed up a good and decent man, presenting job-saving reorganizations as cynical ploys to earn money and generally misrepresenting Mitt Romney's record and positions.

They are awfully, awfully good at slander. Now, just imagine what they can do when all that's necessary is that they tell the truth. And this year, that's all they have to do. And they will.

Oh, my, but they will.

It's not that Donald Trump's nearly complete ignorance of government and the Constitution and his virtually global illiteracy when it comes to foreign policy hasn't been "outed." His incoherent rambling during the Republican debates exposed him for the ignoramus and bully he is. But he was appealing to an audience that didn't care. The third or so of the Republican electorate that rallied behind Trump and dominated the Republican race was largely motivated by anger, frustration, bigotry and hatred. They didn't notice that T…

The Trump bubble has finally burst.

Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight.com reports that the statistical magic which led Donald Trump to his unlikely success in the primaries has deserted him in the general election.

At this point in the primary campaign, he was ahead by ten points. Now, in one of the closer polls, he's down to Hillary by six.

Nor is it hard to see why. Trump only got about a third of the vote in the primaries. He succeeded because his opposition was so divided, and a relatively limited and  marginal group of supporters was sufficient for him to win because it was significantly larger than the number of supporters any one of his opponents had.

But there is only one Hillary Clinton. Oops.

Perhaps the rest of us should be grateful for that. But it's the worst possible news for The Donald, whose relatively low voter ceiling isn't going to help him now that he can't rely on a divided opposition to artificially magnify his relatively limited support- especially since such a large number of Repu…

I never knew about these trees

And since they grow in the United States, you'd think more people would.

Don't eat the fruit of, burn the wood of, take shelter from the rain under, touch the sap of, or otherwise interact with the manchineel tree. In fact, if you're anywhere near it, bow to it politely and address it as "sir." And in a quiet, deferential voice. From a distance.



ADDENDUM: My friend Lisa Stapp suggests an alternate name for the manchineel tree: "the Tree of the Knowledge of Good and Evil." Whatever you do, ignore any snake that tries to get you to nibble!

She won't do it.

Joni Ernst will be a great president some day.

But I don't believe she's capable of the betrayal of her supporters and of everything she stands for that would be involved in agreeing to be Donald Trump's running mate.

I can understand the speculation. But she won't sell out to an unstable, authoritarian and anti-conservative racist.

Donald's bad luck. Iowa's good fortune.

YESSSSS!

SERVES YOU RIGHT, RAMSAY "ALPO" BOLTON!

WINTERFELL IS LIBERATED!




I was wondering how they would find a satisfying death for a monster like Ramsay, Well, they sure did.

Why should this be a surprise to anybody?

So the election is turning into a referendum on Donald Trump, the man with the 70% disapproval rating from the voters (Hillary's is 55%).

So this is a surprise to exactly who?

Hey. Those "angry" voters who threw their tanTrump in the primaries have also thrown an otherwise certain presidential victory right out the window. When Trump and the Republican party are obliterated this November, it will be their fault and nobody else's.

Which won't stop them from blaming those who have more sense than they do. But then, they voted for Donald Trump.

And yeah- Jeb Bush did warn them. So did a lot of us.

Any questions, Trumpfolk?

From Fox News:


How would President Trump respond on 7/ll?

A president's job is to lead- and Donald Trump's bizarre response to the Orlando tragedy calls into question the kind of leadership he would provide.

How would President Trump respond in the face of a disaster? Would the empathy be there? Could he care for people and draw them together at a moment of crisis?

We might learn something not only from his response to Orlando but from his actual response to 9/ll (or 7/ll, as he calls it).

HT: Real Clear Politics

Americans dislike Trump more than Putin!

I do not, of course, agree with the token Republican on this panel. I will not vote for Hillary Clinton even to defeat Il Duce.  But while both presumptive nominees are unpopular with the electorate at a historically unprecedented level, Trump's unpopularity is now at 70%.

That doesn't translate, necessarily, into votes for Hillary. People on both sides will be voting for people they dislike. But it's worth remembering that this is an election that will almost certainly be decided by who people dislike least.

I've made this point before, but to keep things in perspective almost 70% of Republicans voted against Trump in the primaries. He is not the choice of the GOP rank-and-file by a long shot! But it was a crowded field, and he managed to consistently get more votes than any other single Republican candidate.

This will not be a crowded field. As unpopular as she is, I see no way even if she's indicted that Hillary doesn't clean the floor with Trump in November…

They love him in Hollywood, too.

They love him in Japan.

Trump: 'I have not yet begun to make an ass of myself!'

Il Duce explains his bad and worsening status in the polls by saying that he "hasn't started yet."

Actually, he's finished. And the more he keeps on doing what he does, the deeper the hole he's going to dig for himself.

But hey, This is a step forward; he's finally acknowledging the problem. Throughout the primary campaign, the polls showed that he was the only Republican who lost to Hillary Clinton. But his supporters were in denial even then. The guy who spoke for him at our precinct caucus (thankfully to little avail) actually made the bizarre claim that he was the only one of the Republican candidates who could win!

But the handwriting has been on the wall ever since a year and a day ago when the Trumpmeister first inflicted his candidacy upon us. But this is the first time Trump (or for that matter his supporters, in my hearing) have admitted that they were not winning.

That's minor progress, and I expect multiple relapses into delusional thinking. B…

Apparently it's euphemism time at NR

Guess what? Donald Trump's nutty and erratic rhetoric, blatant ignorance, and boorish, mindless bluster are now "Jacksonian Populism," and the assorted extremists who form the core of his support are now the "radical Middle."

No, conservatives (and Americans who believe in our national ideals whatever ideological label they may wear) do not need to "come to terms" with what Trump represents. They need to defeat it.

It is evil and does not deserve to be dressed up in respectable terms, historical or otherwise.

Not that Andy Jackson was all that respectable in some ways. After all, he's to blame for the Democratic party.

HT: Real Clear Politics

No, not voting for Trump is NOT voting for Hillary

Here's a thoughtful article on why the author, as a Christian, is OK with not voting for Trump in order to beat Hillary.

I would put it a little differently. I would say that there are degrees of evil at which being the lesser doesn't matter, and that Trump qualifies.

I also think that the minority kids who are getting beaten up on the playground because of the xenophobia Trump encourages deserve better from me. Despite my dislike of Hillary, I'd rather be a Samaritan to them than pass by on the other side.

Trump's last three weeks

Donald Trump in red, Hillary Clinton in blue.



HT: John Podhoretz

Getting used to being disenfranchised

I would never vote or Gary Johnson, and I suspect most of those who say they will in yet another poll foreshadowing Donald Trump's defeat won't actually vote for him either. But that a pot-smoking fringe candidate with a half-liberal ideology can get 11% of the vote makes you wonder what a credible bid by a real conservative could produce.

Alas, it's becoming clearer and clearer that Mitt Romney- the one potential third-party candidate who might actually win- isn't going to change his mind and run. And it's even becoming clear that we're not even going to get some journalist or minor public figure to pick up the fallen conservative flag.

It's a pity, but I'm beginning to be reconciled to not having anybody to vote for this Fall.

It seems like it's been forever

Today is the one-year anniversary of Our National Embarrassment declaring his candidacy for president. And to be fair, he didn't actually say that all Mexicans- or even most- were rapists and murderers.

Just the ones who come to America. Though he assumed there were "some good people too."

A year ago I would not have believed that the nation's Republican voters would have fallen for an unstable, emotionally immature con man so totally unfit to hold high public office. I would have assumed that they would have united behind somebody- even Ted Cruz, whom I'm convinced would also have lost to Hillary Clinton- and prevented this humiliation not only to the party but to the nation.

But original sin is a powerful thing. The corruption of human nature runs deep. And we are all too vulnerable to people who appeal to what is worst in us.

This, Donald Trump has shamelessly done. Such people have always been among us, and always will be.

Our shame is that we let him get thi…

Interesting poll at National Review

National Review is doing a poll asking whether "If 30 random people in a crowded movie theater were armed -- would you feel safe or in danger?"

It's not going as I would have expected.

Unfortunately, the file  doesn't allow the graph (shown above left) to be displayed in a  size that would both fit in the frame still have legible annotations, so I'll have to supply them myself. At of the time I took the poll, as reflected in the graph,  71.95% (including me) said "in danger," 24.39% said "safe," and 3.66% said "neutral."

Given NR's audience, I suspect that will change. But I'm fascinated by the fact that so many conservatives are putting common sense above ideology even at what I suspect is an early stage of the poll.

We will never get rid of guns. But we do need to get over the crazy idea that more guns- if they're not in the hands of trained professionals- are going to make us safer. Guns don't kill people. But they …

It's starting

New Rasmussen and Ipsos polls confirm what all the other polls say: that Hillary is leading Donald Trump and pulling away.

As Trump continues to say stupid things- and he won't be able to help himself- he will discover to his sorrow that appealing to a majority of the American people is considerably harder than appealing to the most clueless third of the Republican party.

That the margin will be so big that the very claim will be hilarious will not stop the Trumpfolk from claiming that the election was stolen, from blaming real Republicans for their own blunder in supporting the joker, from blaming the Mexicans and the Muslims and the Illuminati and the Trilateral Commission, or from blaming the milkman.

But it won't be their fault, and it won't be Trump's. Maybe the Martians will be to blame.