Is McCain on the verge of wrapping it up?
Three of the last five national polls of Republican voters have John McCain leading Mike Huckabee, who is in second place, by between thirteen and fifteen points.
McCain's RCP average national lead is 10.6 points.
With ambivalent polling results indicating possible movement going Mitt Romney's way in Michigan, tomorrow's Michigan primary assumes all the more importance. Especially combined with a victory tomorrow, a national lead the size of McCain's forecasts sweeping victories on "Tsunami Tuesday," Feb. 5.
McCain might or might not upset Huckabee in South Carolina this coming Saturday (a performance which in itself would probably put yet another nail in the coffin of the Fred Thompson candidacy). The same would seem to be true in the volatile Nevada caucus on the same day. But a victory over Romney in Michigan (Huckabee seems to have fallen out of the picture) would simply add to the momentum McCain achieved by winning decisively in New Hampshire,probably causing those other states to fall into place- and add to the narrow lead McCain already enjoys in Florida, which votes on Jan. 29.
"Tsunami Tuesday," a week later, may well be a coronation.
McCain's RCP average national lead is 10.6 points.
With ambivalent polling results indicating possible movement going Mitt Romney's way in Michigan, tomorrow's Michigan primary assumes all the more importance. Especially combined with a victory tomorrow, a national lead the size of McCain's forecasts sweeping victories on "Tsunami Tuesday," Feb. 5.
McCain might or might not upset Huckabee in South Carolina this coming Saturday (a performance which in itself would probably put yet another nail in the coffin of the Fred Thompson candidacy). The same would seem to be true in the volatile Nevada caucus on the same day. But a victory over Romney in Michigan (Huckabee seems to have fallen out of the picture) would simply add to the momentum McCain achieved by winning decisively in New Hampshire,probably causing those other states to fall into place- and add to the narrow lead McCain already enjoys in Florida, which votes on Jan. 29.
"Tsunami Tuesday," a week later, may well be a coronation.
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