Primary eve in South Carolina, caucus eve in Nevada

Well, John McCain's lead in the polls twenty-four hours before South Carolinians vote is an RCP average of 4.2%. The two most recent polls show him, respectively, tied with Mitt Romney and seven points ahead of him.

There's no indication of a trend toward anyone else. My prediction: it'll be McCain, but probably not by a whole lot. That will set him up quite nicely for Florida on Jan. 29- where he's also leading. There, his chief competition is Rudy Giuliani.

You remember him.

I have no doubt that Mitt Romney will win the Nevada Caucuses tomorrow- but that the day's big winner will be perceived, quite rightly, as McCain, who will have scored in Mike Huckabee and Fred Thompson's home territory.

HT: Real Clear Politics

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