323 to 215

That will be the electoral vote margin by which President Obama is defeated for re-election if Gallup's annual state-by-state poll of POTUS's approval rating accurately predicts the outcome of November's election.

The map assumes that Mr. Obama will carry any state where he had a positive approval rating last year, and lose any state where his approval rating was negative. This, of course, will not necesarily happen, as witness George W. Bush's re-election in 2004. The critical factor will be whether Mr. Obama, like Mr. Bush, succeeds in making his opponent, rather than his own record, the issue.

HT: Drudge